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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1372
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN NC...WRN AND CNTRL VA...NRN MD AND SRN PA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 141610Z - 141745Z
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP INITIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE SRN AND CNTRL APPALACHIANS AND SUBSEQUENTLY SPREADING EWD
THROUGH WRN NC...VA...MD AND PA. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BECOME
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS AND SMALL HAIL. DUE TO
EXPECTED LIMITED ORGANIZATION AND COVERAGE OF SEVERE EVENTS...A WW
IS CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON STORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
ALONG ERN FRINGE OF DEEP MOISTURE PLUME FROM WRN NC...WV AND SW PA.
DOWNSTREAM...STRONG DIABATIC HEATING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS
RESULTING IN DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE FROM 2000 TO 2500 J/KG
EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO NEAR 90. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WITH
MODEST SWLY DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL SUPPORT MULTICELL STORMS THAT MAY
EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS OR SMALL CLUSTERS. WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL LIMIT OVERALL HAIL POTENTIAL...BUT STEEPENING LAPSE RATES
IN THE LOWEST 2 KM AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A THREAT
FOR ISOLATED MICROBURSTS.
..DIAL.. 06/14/2008
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...
39977690 38627710 37317782 35937926 35908111 37577976
38527901 40107793
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