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Mesoscale Discussion 1373
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1373
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0305 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ID...NERN NV...NRN UT

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 142005Z - 142200Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...TSTMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND ARE POSSIBLE THIS
   AFTERNOON. WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

   DISCUSSION...STRONG TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE ID/NV BORDER
   SOUTH OF TWIN FALLS. WHILE THIS AREA IS FURTHER REMOVED FROM THE
   STRONGER ASCENT/FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG SHORTWAVE OVER ERN
   WA...ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY AS VERY STRONG HEATING
   CONTINUES. THE AREA OF SRN ID/FAR NERN NV WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE FOR
   ORGANIZED STORMS...GIVEN SLIGHTLY BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
   SHEAR IN THIS AREA. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NERN NV
   INTO NWRN UT...STORMS WILL BE MORE PULSE-LIKE IN CHARACTER WITH
   WEAKER EFFECTIVE SHEAR...BUT A VERY DEEP AND WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY
   LAYER WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED DRY MICROBURSTS AS TEMPS RISE TO ABOVE
   100 DEGREES. WITH SEVERE COVERAGE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED...WW
   ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   ..DEAN/HART.. 07/14/2014


   ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...

   LAT...LON   39881644 41421627 42941525 43191463 42831300 42411223
               41881217 40711187 40211442 39881644 

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Page last modified: July 14, 2014
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