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Mesoscale Discussion 1384
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1384
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0903 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...WI

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 130203Z - 130400Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH A CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS
   AND HAIL WILL MOVE INTO NWRN AND WEST-CNTRL WI LATER THIS EVENING. A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED FOR SOME OF THIS
   AREA PRIOR TO 0500 UTC/MIDNIGHT CDT.

   DISCUSSION...EVOLVING LARGE MCS ACROSS CNTRL MN WILL TRACK GENERALLY
   SEWD WITH GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL LIKELY FOCUSED ALONG A
   WARM FRONT SITUATED FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF MN FOR THE
   NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. INTENSE TSTM CORES REMAIN PERSISTENT IN THE
   ERN PORTION OF THE MCS WELL NORTH OF THE SFC WARM FRONT AND WERE
   CURRENTLY CROSSING CARLTON...PINE...AND KANABEC COUNTIES IN
   EAST-CNTRL MN. THESE CONSOLIDATING CORES WILL MOVE INTO EXTREME NWRN
   WI SHORTLY AND MAY POSE SOME CHANCE FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. AS UPPER
   FORCING FOR ASCENT STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH
   APPROACH OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND STORMS CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE
   AMIDST VERY STRONG INSTABILITY...A MORE WIDESPREAD HIGH WIND THREAT
   SHOULD SPREAD ESEWD INTO WI. THIS SCENARIO WILL PROBABLY REQUIRE A
   NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH...MOST LIKELY PRIOR TO 0500 UTC/MIDNIGHT CDT.

   ..CARBIN/EDWARDS.. 07/13/2015


   ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   45439176 45649202 46179203 46189225 46659230 46619184
               46719102 46489048 46239009 45909008 45669012 44858988
               44159013 43259038 42959055 42959102 42909167 42939221
               43189245 43829245 43849207 44209209 44059156 44289151
               44539153 44719162 45199158 45439176 

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Page last modified: July 13, 2015
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