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Mesoscale Discussion 1396
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1396
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0507 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN OF NC/N SC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 152207Z - 152330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG WINDS PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE
   SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER 00Z.

   DISCUSSION...CONSOLIDATION OF UPDRAFTS HAVE YIELDED TSTM CLUSTERS
   OVER THE RDU METRO AREA SW TOWARDS THE NC/SC BORDER AREA JUST SE OF
   CLT. BRIEFLY BULGING REFLECTIVITY STRUCTURES WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF
   ISOLATED STRONG WINDS PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
   OF HOURS. BUT WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF ONLY AROUND 15-25 KT PER
   GSP/CAE/AKQ VWP DATA AND PROBABLE STABILIZATION OVER MUCH OF THE
   COASTAL PLAIN AMIDST ABUNDANT STRATIFORM
   RAIN/CLOUDINESS....SPATIOTEMPORAL NATURE OF THIS RISK APPEARS
   LIMITED.

   ..GRAMS/CARBIN.. 07/15/2014


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35368023 35777924 36327817 36277738 35967718 35627712
               34977774 34377905 34208020 34368098 34718126 34898121
               35368023 

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Page last modified: July 15, 2014
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