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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0552 PM CDT WED JUL 01 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NV/NRN UT/S CNTRL AND SERN ID
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 012252Z - 012345Z
ISOLD STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL/DMGG WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DUE TO ISOLD NATURE...A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
INCREASING PWAT VALUES ON THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER
RIDGE...NEAR 130 TO 150 PERCENT OF CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS PER 12Z
RAOBS AND GOES SATELLITE IMAGERY...HAVE BEEN FAVORABLE FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS AMPLE SURFACE
HEATING CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. APPEARANCE ON
VISIBLE IMAGERY AND COOLING TOPS ON IR SEEM TO SUGGEST SOME
STRENGTHENING OF A CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING ENEWD THROUGH NERN
NV/NWRN UT. THIS IS LIKELY PARTLY IN RESPONSE TO A SUBTLE VORT MAX
NOW MOVING INTO NERN NV. AS THE STORMS CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
NEWD...MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND 30 TO 35 KTS EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAY
SUPPORT BRIEF STORM ROTATION AND OCCASIONALLY SEVERE HAIL. STEEP LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE TEMPERATURE DEW POINT SPREADS MAY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS STORMS GRADUALLY MOVE
OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
..HURLBUT.. 07/01/2009
ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...
LAT...LON 41561199 40921297 40601376 40811527 40941588 41381600
41961437 42251333 42241227 41561199
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