MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1425
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1135 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN KS INTO NWRN MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 040435Z - 040530Z
   
   ISOLATED HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER
   CORES/LINE SEGMENTS INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
   ACROSS CENTRAL/NERN KS INTO NWRN MO.  HEAVY RAINFALL RATES RANGING
   FROM 1.5 TO 2 IN/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS TRAINING ENEWD FROM
   CENTRAL KS TOWARD NWRN MO.
   
   04Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
   EXTENDING WSWWD FROM NEAR TOP TO JUST N OF HUT AND THEN THROUGH SWRN
   KS /S OF GCK/ TO FAR SERN CO.  REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED TSTMS WERE
   LOCATED MAINLY ALONG AND N OF THIS BOUNDARY...WITH ACTIVITY TRACKING
   ENEWD.  FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE
   TROUGHS MOVING EWD ACROSS ERN NEB/KS COMBINED WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL
   WAA ALONG NOSE OF VEERING 40-50 KT LLJ WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN CLUSTERS
   OF TSTMS OVERNIGHT AS THE IMPULSES APPROACH THE LOWER MO VALLEY.  
   
   IN ADDITION TO THE ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THE STRONG LLJ
   WILL MAINTAIN AN INFLOW OF RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE MCS FROM
   CENTRAL INTO NERN KS.  00Z SOUNDINGS ERN KS INTO WRN MO INDICATED
   ABOVE NORMAL VALUES /AOA 1.5 INCHES/.  THESE VALUES COMBINED WITH
   THE LIKELIHOOD FOR STORMS TO CONTINUE TRAINING ENEWD WILL SUPPORT
   HEAVY RAINFALL RATES FROM GBD/SLN AREA THROUGH TOP AND TOWARD THE
   KANSAS CITY METRO AREA.
   
   ..PETERS.. 07/04/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...
   
   LAT...LON   38619919 38939907 39169828 39259757 39349683 39409589
               39529437 39079427 38519438 38169626 38149817 38019937
               38049979 38339973 38619919