Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1434
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1434 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1434
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0525 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 152225Z - 152330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA MAY
   PRODUCE ISOLATED INSTANCES OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL. 
   WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
   THREAT.

   DISCUSSION...A BAND OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAS ORGANIZED IN EAST
   CENTRAL UTAH AND FAR NORTHWESTERN COLORADO OVER THE PAST TWO HOURS. 
   THESE STORMS ARE IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 500-1000 J/KG
   MLCAPE...30-35F DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS...AND MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT
   DEEP SHEAR FOR MULTICELLULAR DEVELOPMENT...PROMOTING AN ISOLATED
   SEVERE WIND THREAT WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS.  CONTINUED FORCING FOR
   ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE AREA
   WILL MAINTAIN THIS BAND OF STORMS INTO THE EARLY EVENING...BEFORE
   LOSS OF INSOLATION LEADS TO A WEAKENING TREND WITH THIS ACTIVITY. 
   WW ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED.

   ..COOK/MEAD.. 07/15/2015


   ATTN...WFO...CYS...RIW...GJT...SLC...

   LAT...LON   38500773 37940851 37810872 37580936 37711061 37771096
               38021120 38291122 38771107 39411075 39731046 40770923
               41020869 41100800 40930718 40510685 40110682 39560702
               39200726 38500773 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: July 15, 2015
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities