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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1435
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/CNTRL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 546...
VALID 042357Z - 050100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 546
CONTINUES.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED NEAR THE OUTFLOW/FRONTAL INTERSECTION
ARE NOW SLOWLY PROGRESSING EWD IN MODEST FLOW. HOT TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES AND LARGE DEW POINT SPREADS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO A CONTINUED EWD PROGRESSION OF A DMGG WIND THREAT
ACROSS SRN OK/NRN TX. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE ON THE
NRN EXTENT OF CURRENT CONVECTION AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY SAGS
SWD...WHERE THE AIRMASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND RELATIVELY
UNAFFECTED BY PREVIOUS CONVECTION. TO THE E OF CURRENT
CONVECTION...MODERATE INSTABILITY REMAINS...THOUGH COOLER SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AND EXPANSIVE CIRRUS SHIELD WILL LIKELY LIMIT SURFACE
BASED STORMS...AND THE THREAT OF HAIL MAY BECOME PREDOMINANT. HIGH
PWAT AND RELATIVELY SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL LEAD TO A HEAVY RAIN
THREAT AS STORMS CONTINUE TO TRAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WITH
MARGINAL THREAT CONTINUING AFTER 01Z...A LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME OR
AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED.
..HURLBUT.. 07/04/2009
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 35409589 34309569 33799634 34169816 34259911 34569996
35259999 35719943 35899703 35809616 35409589
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