|Mesoscale Discussion 1436|
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Mesoscale Discussion 1436
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0832 PM CDT Wed Aug 02 2017
Areas affected...Southwest NE/northwest KS and
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 438...
Valid 030132Z - 030300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 438
SUMMARY...A couple of strong to severe storms remain possible
through mid-late evening (until around 03Z) across far southwest
Nebraska into adjacent counties in northwest Kansas. Meanwhile, a
lone storm poses a short-term severe treat in east-central to
southeast Colorado (Cheyenne to Kiowa counties).
DISCUSSION...Trends in mosaic radar imagery early this evening
showed a cluster of storms across far southwest NE moving into far
northwest KS, while a lone storm moved southward into southeast CO.
The combination of convective overturning and the loss of daytime
heating is resulting in a decrease in available instability for
additional storms, while surface-based inhibition strengthens from
south to north. Although effective bulk shear remains sufficiently
strong for storm organization, the objectively analyzed reduction of
favorable thermodynamics suggest the overall severe-weather threat
should continue to wane.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 38920311 39030208 40640196 40840090 40460045 39640016
38910019 38340122 38160261 38240320 38920311
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