MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1443
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0223 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO...NERN NM
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 051923Z - 052100Z
   
   A FEW STORMS WILL PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL GENERALLY 1.00" OR LESS.
   DEPENDING ON EXPECTED SEVERE COVERAGE...A WATCH COULD BE ISSUED.
   
   WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AND CONTINUED HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   ADDITIONAL STORM FORMATION OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SERN CO/NE NM.
   DEEP LAYER FLOW IS STRONG ENOUGH TO GET STORMS MOVING SEWD OFF THE
   FRONT RANGE WITH AN UNCAPPED ATMOSPHERE TO ABOUT THE WRN KS BORDER
   AS OF 19Z. DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S F AND PEAK HEATING
   SHOULD RESULT IN A FEW CORES PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL...DESPITE
   RELATIVELY WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/05/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   36970613 38070612 38820570 39230514 39090384 38840323
               38040303 36890307 35420307 34810316 34730368 34790514
               35370561 36290595 36970613