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Mesoscale Discussion 1446
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1446
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0325 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN/SOUTHERN NY AND NORTHEAST PA TO
   CT/MA/NH/VT/MAINE

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 432...

   VALID 232025Z - 232230Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 432
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...DAMAGING WINDS/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
   ACROSS THE REGION AS STORMS SPREAD GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGH LATE
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 432 CONTINUES
   UNTIL 02Z.

   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CLUSTERS/BANDS OF STORMS CONTINUE TO
   INCREASE/SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL/EASTERN NY AND
   PORTIONS OF NH/VT TO INTERIOR MAINE. NOW NEAR PEAKING
   HEATING...SURFACE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY NEAR 90F ARE CONTRIBUTING
   TO MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG PER AN ADJUSTED 18Z SPECIAL SOUNDING
   FROM GRAY MAINE AND SPC RAP-BASED OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. WITH REGIONAL
   WSR-88D VWP DATA INDICATING AS MUCH AS 30-35 KT OF DEEP-LAYER
   SHEAR...AN EASTWARD PERSISTENCE OF STRONG/OCCASIONALLY SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS ADDITIONAL PARTS OF
   SOUTHEAST NY AND VT/NH/WESTERN MA AND MAINE THROUGH LATE
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY
   HAZARD...BUT ISOLATED INSTANCES OF HAIL ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

   ..GUYER.. 07/23/2014


   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...

   LAT...LON   42127702 42977522 44757114 45826924 46136818 44326870
               42747146 42317254 41697354 41437561 42127702 

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Page last modified: July 23, 2014
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