MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1451
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0715 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO/ERN NM AND ADJACENT PARTS OF OK/TX
   PANHANDLES
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 551...
   
   VALID 060015Z - 060115Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 551
   CONTINUES.
   
   THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF TSTMS AND THREAT FOR STRONG/DAMAGING WIND
   GUSTS SHOULD BE MAINLY ACROSS ERN NM...WITH SOME THREAT INTO THE WRN
   OK/TX PANHANDLES ALONG THE NM BORDER.  ALTHOUGH THESE LATTER
   LOCATIONS ARE JUST E OF WW 551...WEAKER INSTABILITY EXTENDING ACROSS
   THIS REGION SHOULD ALLOW STORMS MOVING ESE OF THE WATCH TO DIMINISH
   IN INTENSITY.  MEANWHILE...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE BULK
   SHEAR 30-40 KT OVER ERN/SRN NM WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STORM
   ORGANIZATION AS THE BROKEN LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING FROM NERN-SOUTH
   CENTRAL NM SPREAD SSEWD THIS EVENING.
   
   FARTHER N ACROSS ERN CO INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE...A LOW POTENTIAL
   REMAINS FOR LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE SEVERAL TSTM
   CLUSTERS ACROSS THIS AREA OF THE HIGH PLAINS.  LIGHTNING TRENDS WITH
   THESE TSTM CLUSTERS HAVE BEEN DIMINISHING DURING THE LAST HOUR WHILE
   CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING.  THESE TRENDS COMBINED WITH DECREASING
   INSTABILITY SHOULD ALLOW THIS ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH FURTHER IN
   INTENSITY AND OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..PETERS.. 07/06/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...BOU...CYS...
   ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   33700526 34110542 35150570 35820508 35980436 36530399
               37010399 37310472 37900495 38970486 39860454 40540453
               41040448 41380357 41220219 40810225 39350223 38290247
               37000260 35190255 33250258 33210474 33700526