MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1469
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1006 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...OK/TX PANHANDLES TO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556...
   
   VALID 070306Z - 070400Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556
   CONTINUES.
   
   OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED MUCAPE /1000-2000 J/KG/ EXTENDING FROM
   SERN NM INTO WRN TX INCLUDING THE PANHANDLE.  THIS COMBINED WITH
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-45 KT SUGGESTS STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
   CAPABLE OF BECOMING SEVERE WITH HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THE
   PRIMARY THREATS THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR SO /04-05Z/.
   
   REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED THE LINE OF TSTMS EXTENDING FROM ARMSTRONG
   TO BAILEY COUNTIES TX WERE MOVING TO THE SE AT 25 KT.  GIVEN THIS
   STORM MOTION...TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SRN EXTENT OF WW
   556 THROUGH 07Z.  DESPITE A MARKED INCREASE IN LIGHTNING STRIKES
   OVER WEST CENTRAL TX...INCREASING SURFACE BASED CINH AND THE SLOWER
   STORM MOTION /25 KT/ SUGGEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL MAY DIMINISH
   FURTHER. 
   
   FARTHER N...CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER THE NRN TX PANHANDLE/ADJACENT OK
   PANHANDLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NRN/NERN TX PANHANDLE
   THROUGH 04Z.  INSTABILITY DECREASES WITH EWD EXTENT INTO FAR WRN OK
   WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO AFFECT WRN
   OK.
   
   ..PETERS.. 07/07/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
   
   LAT...LON   32990298 34610297 35350207 37050195 37010088 36439999
               34739984 34030046 32960054 32990298