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Mesoscale Discussion 1472
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1472
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0518 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN OH

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 442...

   VALID 262218Z - 262315Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 442
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE
   HAIL WILL CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS...BUT THE OVERALL TREND
   WILL LIKELY BE FOR DECREASING STORM INTENSITY TOWARDS 00Z.

   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STRONG/OCNLY SVR TSTMS WERE CONTINUING ACROSS
   CENTRAL/SRN OH AT 22Z WITHIN AND TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF WW 442
   WITH A RISK FOR MAINLY LARGE HAIL. THESE TSTMS WERE OCCURRING IN A
   STRONGLY SHEARED BUT ONLY MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPE
   GENERALLY IN THE RANGE OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG. MESOANALYSIS DEPICTS
   INCREASING INHIBITION DOWNSTREAM OF THE ONGOING TSTMS AND THIS TREND
   WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH 00Z. LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
   WILL LIKELY REMAIN WELL NORTHWEST OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND THUS
   THE OVERALL SVR THREAT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED THROUGH 00Z. AS
   SUCH...A DOWNSTREAM WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

   ..BUNTING.. 07/26/2014


   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

   LAT...LON   40868347 40858282 40858243 40658161 40488127 39948138
               39548148 39228209 39278260 39348293 39608353 39868397
               40228409 40588386 40738375 40868347 

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Page last modified: July 26, 2014
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