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Mesoscale Discussion 1498
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1498
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0127 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NC/SRN AND ERN SC/CENTRAL GA/PARTS OF SRN AL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 281827Z - 282000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...INCREASING STORM COVERAGE WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE
   OF LOW-END SEVERE RISK MAY NECESSITATE WW ISSUANCE ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE DISCUSSION AREA.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOW A
   MOIST/DESTABILIZING AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN ENE-WSW COLD FRONT EXTENDING
   FROM SRN/ERN NC TO SRN MS.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN
   DEVELOPING OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THIS
   AFTERNOON.  WITH MODERATE/ROUGHLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW ALOFT
   OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA...A FEW ORGANIZED/ESEWD-MOVING STORM
   CLUSTERS SHOULD EVOLVE WITH TIME -- POSING SOME RISK FOR MARGINAL
   HAIL AND STRONG/GUSTY WINDS.  WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE
   EVOLUTION ACROSS THE REGION -- WHERE ANY CONCENTRATION OF STRONGER
   CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT COULD REQUIRE WW CONSIDERATION.

   ..GOSS/HART.. 07/28/2014


   ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   33937772 33137930 31928099 31368623 31678776 32068828
               33008503 33368186 34417814 33937772 

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Page last modified: July 28, 2014
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