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Mesoscale Discussion 1501
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1501
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0336 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NE MN INTO WI

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 292036Z - 292130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEAST
   FROM NE MN ACROSS MUCH OF WI THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS MAY
   BRIEFLY PRODUCE HAIL APPROACHING 1 INCH. A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK S/SE FROM
   THE MN ARROWHEAD ACROSS MUCH OF WI THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK
   INSTABILITY...BULK SHEAR VALUES LESS THAN 30 KT AND POOR MIDLEVEL
   LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM ORGANIZATION AND UPDRAFT
   INTENSITY. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
   BUT THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. AS SUCH...A WATCH IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.

   ..LEITMAN/GOSS.. 07/29/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   48449250 46989007 45258775 44608738 43848758 43488800
               43188895 43338995 43689083 44339152 44969217 45949273
               46859297 47789325 48309307 48449250 

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Page last modified: July 29, 2014
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