Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1532
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1532 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1532
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0442 PM CDT SAT AUG 09 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN CO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 092142Z - 092245Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SPORADIC GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
   STRONGER CELLS. ACTIVITY SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
   AND A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION MOVING OFF OF HIGHER
   TERRAIN ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR MAY OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS
   AND SOME HAIL. GENERALLY WEAK MLCAPE LESS THAN 1000 J/KG AND
   EFFECTIVE SHEAR LESS THAN 30 KT WILL LIMIT ORGANIZATION AND
   INTENSITY. BUT...STEEP LOW AND MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE
   TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS MAY ALLOW FOR A COUPLE OF STRONGER
   GUSTS APPROACHING SEVERE LIMITS AS THE STORMS TRACK EWD INTO THE
   PLAINS. A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME FOR THE I-25 CORRIDOR.
   BUT...THESE STORMS EVENTUALLY MAY TRACK INTO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
   WATCH 457 WHERE THEY WILL ENCOUNTER A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
   ACROSS FAR E-CENTRAL CO INTO NW KS.

   ..LEITMAN/WEISS.. 08/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   40960535 41020459 40990363 40770333 40100325 38730310
               38210279 37880305 37760340 37660370 37820409 38230454
               40960535 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: August 09, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities