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Mesoscale Discussion 1542
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1542
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL/SERN MO...FAR NRN AR AND ADJACENT MID-MS
   VALLEY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 102011Z - 102215Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY
   ACCOMPANY A SEWD-MOVING CLUSTER OF STORMS DEVELOPING FROM S-CNTRL
   MO.

   DISCUSSION...CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A REMNANT MCV HAS GRADUALLY
   INTENSIFIED ACROSS A PART OF S-CNTRL MO. ADDITIONAL AGITATED CU IS
   NOTED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE SE ALONG A WEAKLY
   CONVERGENT BOUNDARY EXTENDING TOWARDS THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MS/OH
   RIVERS. AMDAR DATA INVOF MCI/STL ALONG WITH VWP DATA IN EAX SAMPLED
   A BELT OF AROUND 30-35 KT MID-LEVEL WLYS. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL WINDS
   ARE WEAK...THIS TYPE OF FLOW REGIME SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
   TRANSIENT/WEAK MID-LEVEL ROTATION WHICH WOULD FAVOR MARGINALLY
   SEVERE HAIL ALONG THE FRINGE OF GREATER BUOYANCY. CONSOLIDATION OF
   UPDRAFTS COULD YIELD A SEMI-ORGANIZED SEWD-MOVING CLUSTER WITH A
   RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL.

   ..GRAMS/THOMPSON.. 08/10/2014


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

   LAT...LON   38359207 38119126 37428921 37058884 36748895 36358910
               35978954 35829018 35939083 36219176 36629253 36959284
               37399295 37959291 38299261 38359207 

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Page last modified: August 10, 2014
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