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Mesoscale Discussion 1544
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1544
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0529 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 102229Z - 110000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS
   WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY
   ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI HAVE AMALGAMATED
   INTO A FEW SOUTHEAST-MOVING CLUSTERS WITH RADAR INDICATIONS OF BRIEF
   STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS.  THE STORMS HAVE FORMED WITHIN A MODERATELY
   UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LATEST INTEGRATED
   PRECIPITABLE WATER ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AXIS OF 2 TO 2.25 INCH PW
   ACROSS THIS AREA...AND THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
   DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. MELTING OF HAIL ALOFT MAY FURTHER
   INTENSITY DOWNDRAFTS. WHERE STORMS CAN CONTINUE TO FORM CLUSTERS...A
   MORE CONCENTRATED SEVERE WIND THREAT MAY EXIST. A WATCH IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE MOSTLY TRANSIENT NATURE OF THE THREAT.
   THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH WITH THE ONSET OF
   DIURNAL COOLING.

   ..BUNTING/WEISS.. 08/10/2014


   ATTN...WFO...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33079088 33389034 33369003 33308978 33178929 32928882
               32768868 32528870 32278897 32168961 32179010 32299056
               32639108 32919109 33079088 

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Page last modified: August 11, 2014
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