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Mesoscale Discussion 1547
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1547
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0540 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL PA...NERN WV AND WRN MD

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 162240Z - 170045Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR THROUGH
   EARLY EVENING...BUT A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STORMS HAS CONSOLIDATED ALONG THE COLD FRONT
   OVER WRN PA AND INTO NRN WV. THE PBZ VWP SHOWS MEAN WINDS
   APPROACHING 40 KT IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS WHICH IS HELPING THE LINE
   TO SURGE EWD. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL...ESPECIALLY FARTHER
   E INTO E CNTRL PA IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER STORMS. GIVEN THIS...AND
   TIME OF DAY...A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
   SEVERE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

   ..JEWELL/GRAMS.. 08/16/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

   LAT...LON   39848014 40277957 40677935 40907925 41307785 41137734
               40677735 40087771 39407829 38907871 38907929 39078014
               39218025 39358031 39848014 

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