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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1563
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...IA...SERN MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 584...
VALID 150319Z - 150415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 584
CONTINUES.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CONTINUES ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF IA AND
A SMALL PART OF SERN MN.
A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY HAS YET TO BE OVERTURNED ACROSS
IA WHERE MLCAPE VALUES CURRENTLY RANGE FROM 2000-4000 J/KG. ONGOING
CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE ESEWD ALONG/AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD
FRONT...WITH SWD DEVELOPMENT LIKELY INTO THE STRONGER INSTABILITY AS
LLJ INCREASES ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY REGION. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS LARGE HAIL IS THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK.
..DARROW.. 07/15/2009
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 43509489 43509307 43849304 43849172 43519171 43509162
42669159 42649208 42299206 42289230 41519230 41509505
41859510 41869567 42209568 42199532 42559533 42559492
43509489
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