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Mesoscale Discussion 1577
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1577
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0853 PM CDT SAT AUG 01 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN ND/NWRN MN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 020153Z - 020400Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE SWRN MANITOBA
   VICINITY MAY SPREAD SEWD ACROSS NERN ND AND EVENTUALLY NWRN MN OVER
   THE NEXT FEW HOURS-- POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY LIMITED HAIL POTENTIAL
   AND PERHAPS A STRONGER GUST OR TWO.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A MATURING/SEWD-MOVING
   THUNDERSTORM OVER SWRN MANITOBA ATTM JUST N OF THE INTERNATIONAL
   BORDER.  OTHER SHOWERS/ISOLATED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING W AND NW OF
   THIS CELL...AS A SERIES OF WEAK RIPPLES WITHIN THE FASTER /50 TO 60
   KT/ BELT OF WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MOVE ACROSS THE SRN CANADIAN
   PRAIRIE TOWARD/INTO THE N CENTRAL CONUS.

   WITH MIXED-LAYER CAPE /1000 TO 1500 J/KG/ RESIDING ACROSS THIS
   REGION...ISOLATED STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO NERN ND...AIDED
   BY AMPLE SHEAR OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED BELT OF STRONG MID-LEVEL
   NWLYS.  THOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS SHOULD
   GRADUALLY MITIGATE APPRECIABLE WIND POTENTIAL...A MARGINAL HAIL RISK
   MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

   ..GOSS/CORFIDI.. 08/02/2015


   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

   LAT...LON   49179573 48909536 47909551 47369637 47469739 47659876
               48439994 49070020 49229905 49179573 

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Page last modified: August 02, 2015
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