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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1606
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0545 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595...
VALID 172245Z - 172345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595
CONTINUES.
CONSOLIDATION OF BROKEN CONVECTIVE LINE HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED OVER
THE ERN RALEIGH METRO AREA SWWD TO NEAR SOP. WITH ACTIVITY
ENCOUNTERING LOW-LEVEL THERMAL/INSTABILITY AXIS...CONSISTING OF
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...AND AREA VWP
DATA DEPICTING LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW INCREASING TO AROUND
30 KT AT 3 KM AGL...POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENTS PRIMARILY
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED THROUGH ABOUT 00-01Z.
FARTHER EAST...A COMPOSITE MARINE LAYER/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
EARLIER CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE NOTED IN RADAR/SURFACE
IMAGERY...STRETCHING FROM GREENE TO COLUMBUS COUNTIES AT 2230Z.
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD TEND TO WANE E OF THIS BOUNDARY GIVEN
WEAKER INSTABILITY.
..GRAMS.. 07/17/2009
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...
LAT...LON 34987936 35437874 35717795 35747723 35687683 35427682
34987721 34757749 34627791 34607844 34727915 34987936
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