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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1615
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...MID-UPR OH VLY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629...630...
VALID 281952Z - 282145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
629...630...CONTINUES.
80+ KT MID-LVL SPEED MAX CONTINUES TO NOSE EWD INTO CNTRL IND THIS
AFTN AND WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO OH THIS EVENING. TSTMS HAVE BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS ALONG WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENT ZONES WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR OVER MOST OF THE OH VLY. BULK SHEAR WAS MINIMAL AND
CONSIDERING THE POOR MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES...MULTICELLS WILL
BE FAVORED. HOWEVER...AS EVIDENCED ALREADY...LINE SEGMENTS WILL
TEND TO MATURE...LINE-UP PERPENDICULAR TO THE MEAN FLOW
REGIME...THEN BOW GIVING DMGG WIND GUSTS. PRIMARY CORRIDOR OF
CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE AXIS OF THE WLY MID-LEVEL JET...NAMELY
FROM NRN KY/SRN IND NWD INTO OH...WV AND PA THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.
..RACY.. 06/28/2008
ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...
36748684 38528652 40028597 41718292 42328018 40687993
38807969 37468087 36718405
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