|
| Mesoscale Discussion 1615 |
|
< Previous MD
Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1615
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SE NW AND SW TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 601...602...
VALID 190205Z - 190300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
601...602...CONTINUES.
A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SOUTH OF CURRENT WWS BY 03Z.
A GRADUAL CONSOLIDATION OF ONGOING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...
INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...NOW CENTERED AROUND/JUST SOUTH OF
CLOVIS...IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. AS A SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS UP TO 30 KTS IN RESPONSE TO BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLING
...A SOUTHWARD ACCELERATION OF ACTIVITY APPEARS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...PERHAPS ACROSS THE CARLSBAD/WINK AND THE
MIDLAND-ODESSA AREAS INTO THE PECOS VALLEY BY 05-07Z. DESPITE THE
ONSET OF SURFACE COOLING...WARM/UNSATURATED SUB CLOUD LAYERS
PROBABLY WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT TO THE RISK FOR DOWNBURSTS AND
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVELY GENERATED SURFACE COLD POOLS ACCOMPANIED BY
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
..KERR.. 07/19/2009
ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 33370405 33800359 33870281 33620192 32000157 31420188
31200246 31500345 32190401 33370405
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|