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Mesoscale Discussion 1679
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1679
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1249 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 041749Z - 041845Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NW LOWER
   MI SHORE AND ADJACENT AREAS AS A LINE OF STORMS MOVES ACROSS E/SE
   ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN. SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW AND A
   WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...A BOWING LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK E/SE
   ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN TOWARD NW LOWER MI. MESOANALYSIS INDICATES THE
   LINE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM BETTER
   INSTABILITY AND STRONGER SHEAR...BUT ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR
   AS THE LINE AND ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT MOVE ONSHORE. SOME SMALL HAIL
   ALSO IS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR WITH
   CONTINUED E/SE MOVEMENT AND A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

   ..LEITMAN/HART.. 09/04/2014


   ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...

   LAT...LON   45268647 45688583 45848539 45788471 45328434 44668448
               43838509 43488575 43388628 43448658 43848685 44258690
               44738667 45268647 

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Page last modified: September 04, 2014
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