MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1682
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0537 PM CDT SUN JUL 26 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 626...
   
   VALID 262237Z - 270030Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 626
   CONTINUES.
   
   THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO
   PERSIST UNTIL AROUND 02Z.
   
   OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONE OF MODERATE /1500 J/KG/ MLCAPE ALONG
   THETA-E AXIS NEAR AND JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST FROM ERN PA...NJ
   SERN NY AND INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. STORMS SHOULD PERSIST IN WEAKLY
   CAPPED WARM SECTOR NEXT 2-3 HRS WHERE SWLY 35-45 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL
   BULK SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND BOWING SEGMENTS.
   ACTIVITY HAS LIKELY PEAKED IN INTENSITY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE
   EXPECTED AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ..DIAL.. 07/26/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
   
   LAT...LON   41457125 40827335 40377396 39907450 39807543 39887643
               40777553 42317399 42767208 42317091 41457125