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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1693
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0532 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ME
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 628...
VALID 272232Z - 280000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 628
CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER
HOUR OR TWO...BUT OVERALL TREND WILL BE FOR STORMS TO DECREASE IN
INTENSITY. WW 628 WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 01Z.
EARLY THIS EVENING WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS CONTINUE IN PRE-FRONTAL
WARM SECTOR ACROSS ME WHERE LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES MAX
MLCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG. STORMS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN SWLY BULK SHEAR
OF 30-35 KT...SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION AND BOWING SEGMENTS.
DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD DECREASE IN WAKE OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGH LIFTING NEWD THROUGH SERN QUEBEC. THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH
NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
..DIAL.. 07/27/2009
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...
LAT...LON 45786777 45126790 44696871 44177029 44357091 45177079
46366917 46406806 45786777
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