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Mesoscale Discussion 1695
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1695
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0125 PM CDT TUE SEP 09 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SRN MO INTO FAR NRN AR

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 091825Z - 092030Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS CAPABLE OF MARGINAL HAIL AND
   LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF MO INTO NRN
   AR.

   DISCUSSION...A VAST CU FIELD EXTENDS FROM AR INTO MO WHERE DAYTIME
   HEATING CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS WHICH IS VERY MOIST.
   WIND PROFILES ARE WEAK BUT THEY DO VEER WITH HEIGHT WHICH MAY FAVOR
   RIGHTWARD-MOVING CELLS WITH INCREASING COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
   SMALL TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST
   CORES...WITH WINDS LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 09/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...

   LAT...LON   38599015 37419040 36529073 36079149 36029229 36349339
               37419366 38249359 38719320 39099257 39269146 39119065
               38599015 

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Page last modified: September 09, 2014
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