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Mesoscale Discussion 1700
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1700
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0526 PM CDT TUE SEP 09 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SW TO E-CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 092226Z - 100000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD POSE A RISK FOR
   PRIMARILY ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS S OF ONGOING WW/S 499 AND 500.

   DISCUSSION...DISCRETE STORM PRODUCED A 65 KT MEASURED WIND GUST AT
   KRSL AT 2212Z. ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO HAVE
   COMMENCED FARTHER SW ACROSS SW KS. THIS ACTIVITY IS WITHIN A HOT AND
   WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...LARGELY CHARACTERIZED BY 30-35 DEG F
   SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS. DESPITE MARGINAL MID-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES...THE LARGE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS ALONG WITH 30-40 KT
   EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO SPORADIC SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS
   CONVECTION EVOLVES E/NE THIS EVENING.

   ..GRAMS/MEAD.. 09/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

   LAT...LON   37870105 38370074 38640003 38979884 39439736 39549619
               39199598 38819598 38499632 37639772 37419899 37399986
               37540058 37810093 37870105 

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Page last modified: September 10, 2014
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