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Mesoscale Discussion 1713
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1713
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0735 PM CDT SAT SEP 17 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480...

   VALID 180035Z - 180200Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SEVERE RISK HAS LOCALLY INCREASES ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NM
   AND INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS ISOLATED RIGHT-MOVING
   SUPERCELLS AND PERIODIC LEFT SPLITS ONGOING WITHIN AN WNW-ESE ZONE
   WHICH INCLUDES THE MIDLAND/ODESSA AREA -- IN AND NEAR WW 480.  TWO
   OF THE MOST INTENSE CELLS INCLUDE A STORM MOVING SEWD ACROSS FAR
   NWRN ECTOR AND SRN ANDREWS COUNTIES IN TX...AND A SECOND MOVING SEWD
   OUT OF EDDY AND INTO SRN LEA COUNTY NM.  THE ECTOR/ANDREWS COUNTY
   STORM IN PARTICULAR IS VERY WELL-ORGANIZED...WITH A RECENT TORNADO
   REPORT HAVING BEEN RECEIVED WITH THIS CELL.  ALONG WITH THIS
   LOCAL/TEMPORARY INCREASE IN TORNADO RISK AS STORMS MOVE SEWD ALONG A
   WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...HAIL IN EXCESS OF 1.5" IN DIAMETER
   AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
   HOURS.

   ..GOSS.. 09/18/2016


   ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   32200362 32500423 32990394 33120279 32810062 31650083
               31450171 31750266 32200362 

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Page last modified: September 18, 2016
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