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Mesoscale Discussion 1714
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1714
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0757 PM CDT SAT SEP 17 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN KS SWD INTO WRN OK...THE TX AND OK
   PANHANDLES...AND A PORTION OF NERN NM

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 481...

   VALID 180057Z - 180300Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 481
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE RISK CONTINUES...WITH AN INCREASE IN
   CONVECTIVE COVERAGE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS ISOLATED STORMS ONGOING IN AND
   NEAR WW 481...WITH SOME HINTS THAT AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE /AS
   PROGGED BY A NUMBER OF RECENT CAM RUNS/ MAY BE UNDERWAY.  IN THE
   MEAN TIME...THE STRONGEST CELLS ARE CROSSING DALLAM CO IN THE FAR
   NWRN CORNER OF THE TX PANHANDLE...WHERE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
   GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE.

   IF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE DOES INCREASE TO INCLUDE UPSCALE GROWTH INTO
   A SEWD-MOVING MCS...A CORRESPONDING UPTICK IN SEVERE RISK MAY ALSO
   OCCUR...WHICH COULD NECESSITATE CONSIDERATION OF A NEW WW E OF WW
   481.

   ..GOSS.. 09/18/2016


   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   34770007 34460289 34800359 36140328 37770163 38260131
               38590053 38089958 37239908 35819937 34770007 

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Page last modified: September 18, 2016
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