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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1735
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN SD...N CNTRL NEB
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 311835Z - 312030Z
STORMS WILL INCREASE ALONG A COLD FRONT WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL LIKELY. A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SURGE SEWD ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH
SURFACE HEATING AND NWD ADVECTION OF MID 50S F DEWPOINTS. WITH
TIME...COOLING ALOFT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...STRONG FORCING AND
SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN AN ERUPTION OF STORMS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT. INSTABILITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW...BUT GIVEN
STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS AND STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
THIS AFTERNOON STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR. SMALL HAIL MAY
ALSO OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST CORES. STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY SEWD
AT 30-40 MPH REACHING SERN SD BY 00Z.
..JEWELL.. 07/31/2009
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR...
LAT...LON 44660020 45549931 45659843 45559792 45129762 44619725
44029694 43209733 42539831 42179973 42110101 42130136
42380178 42890167 43510127 44660020
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