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Mesoscale Discussion 1745
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1745
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1233 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/SERN GEORGIA...FAR SRN SOUTH CAROLINA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 231733Z - 232000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
   SOUTHEASTERN/SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND FAR SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. 
   OWING TO THE MARGINAL NATURE OF THE SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL...A WATCH
   IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE
   MOVING ACROSS ALABAMA THIS MORNING HAS RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT
   AND MAINTENANCE OF A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
   GEORGIA. ENHANCED LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
   DISTURBANCE /AROUND 30 KTS AT 3-KM AGL PER JGX VWP/ SHOULD SUPPORT
   SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS.  AS THESE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD
   AND DEVELOP SOUTHWARD INTO A WARMING/DESTABILIZING AND MOIST
   ENVIRONMENT...THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
   WIND GUSTS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.  THE ISOLATED AND MARGINAL
   NATURE OF THE SEVERE WIND THREAT WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE
   OF A WATCH.

   ..JIRAK/CORFIDI.. 08/23/2015


   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   31918300 32378236 33188219 33368206 33538175 33458133
               33168085 32798073 32468075 32158091 31998108 31468135
               30938180 30688244 30478300 30358367 30468432 30878505
               31868479 31918300 

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Page last modified: August 23, 2015
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