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Mesoscale Discussion 1748
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1748
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0332 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL SC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 262032Z - 262230Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING OVER SC WILL BE CAPABLE OF
   DOWNBURST WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO
   THE VERY ISOLATED AND MARGINAL NATURE OF THE THREAT.

   DISCUSSION...THIS AFTERNOON AN ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM HAS
   DEVELOPED OVER NERN SC ALONG THE INTERSECTION OF AN OLD OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY...A STATIONARY FRONT AND SEABREEZE. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY
   DEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH NEAR THE CHARLESTON AREA WHERE VISIBLE IMAGERY
   SHOWS AN AREA OF ENHANCED CUMULUS IN VICINITY OF WHAT APPEARS TO BE
   THE INTERSECTION OF A SECONDARY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...THE STATIONARY
   FRONT AND SEABREEZE BOUNDARY. DIABATIC WARMING OF THE SFC LAYER HAS
   CONTRIBUTED TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THIS REGION WITH AROUND 2000
   J/KG MLCAPE. A FEW MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF WET DOWNBURSTS WILL
   REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

   ..DIAL/CORFIDI.. 08/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

   LAT...LON   33707897 32848032 33268059 34097898 33707897 

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