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Mesoscale Discussion 1752
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1752
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0516 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 272216Z - 280015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND A BRIEF TORNADO MAY
   ACCOMPANY SCATTERED STORMS REMAINING ALONG THE DRYLINE THROUGH ABOUT
   SUNSET.

   DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AS A REMNANT WWD-MOVING
   OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MERGING WITH THE DRYLINE OVER CNTRL KS. WHILE
   HOT SURFACE TEMPERATURES FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S TO THE W OF
   THE DRYLINE IS SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTABILITY...SURFACE TEMPERATES
   HAVE COOLED RATHER RAPIDLY WITH PASSAGE OF THIS OUTFLOW IN S-CNTRL
   KS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE SPATIAL EXTENT OF TSTMS WILL LIKELY
   REMAIN CONFINED ALONG THE DRYLINE. WITH A PRONOUNCED WEAKNESS IN
   MID-LEVEL WLYS PER DDC VWP DATA...CONVECTION SHOULD STRUGGLE TO
   GREATLY ORGANIZE...ESPECIALLY WITH SRN EXTENT. BUT WITH A
   STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ...A BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF
   N-CNTRL KS.

   ..GRAMS/GUYER.. 08/27/2015


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

   LAT...LON   39869864 39949816 39929761 39609738 38079817 37269906
               37339988 38409960 39389913 39869864 

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