Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1761
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1761 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1761
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0716 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...A SMALL PART OF CNTRL/S-CNTRL NEB

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 240016Z - 240115Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR ISOLATED SVR HAIL/WIND WILL ACCOMPANY A SMALL
   THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER MOVING SSEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL/S-CNTRL
   NEB IN THE SHORT-TERM.

   DISCUSSION...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL...BUT ORGANIZED
   AND INTENSE...CLUSTER OF STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF BROKEN BOW MOVING
   SSEWD IN PROXIMITY TO A STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS NNW/SSE
   THROUGH CNTRL NEB. AS A SFC WIND-SHIFT AXIS ACCOMPANYING THE ONGOING
   CONVECTION CONTINUES SHIFTING SWD...AND RELATED ASCENT MAY MAINTAIN
   THE RISK FOR ROBUST CONVECTION SSEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF S-CNTRL NEB
   DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THIS IS WHERE MODERATE BUOYANCY WILL
   REMAIN ASSOCIATED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND 60F. THE 00Z LBF RAOB
   INDICATES AROUND 30-40 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW THAT WILL MAINTAIN THE
   RISK FOR INTENSE MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES ACCOMPANIED BY A RISK FOR ISOLATED SVR HAIL/WIND. STORMS
   SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET OWING TO NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION.

   ..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 09/24/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...

   LAT...LON   40509991 41070028 41379978 40959927 40459916 40509991 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: September 24, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities