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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1819
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 PM CDT FRI AUG 07 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL SD INTO N-CNTRL NEB
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 674...
VALID 080422Z - 080545Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 674
CONTINUES.
THROUGH 06Z...THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS WRN PART OF WW AREA.
INITIAL SUPERCELL WHICH TRACKED ACROSS WRN SD HAS DECAYED OVER JONES
COUNTY SD. HOWEVER...SCATTERED...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXIST FROM
JACKSON COUNTY SD SWWD INTO NWRN CHERRY AND SHERIDAN COUNTIES IN NEB
AS OF 0412Z. WHILE CURRENT STORMS ARE SITUATED TO THE N OF INITIAL
COLD FRONTAL SURGE...AREA PROFILERS AND VWPS INDICATE THAT ACTIVITY
IS WITHIN A ZONE OF DEEPER-LAYER CONVERGENCE NOTED BETWEEN RAP AND
MERRIMAN NEB.
RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS INDICATE THAT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
GRADUALLY INCREASING WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH THE COOLING OF THE
BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...MERGING STORM COLD POOLS MAY PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL ASCENT TO SUSTAIN ONGOING STORM CLUSTER. HAIL
AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.
..MEAD.. 08/08/2009
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...
LAT...LON 42420169 44230088 44740009 44669926 44069905 42519994
42130034 42150155 42420169
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