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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1831
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0852 PM CDT SAT AUG 08 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL MN INTO W-CNTRL WI
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 678...
VALID 090152Z - 090315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 678 CONTINUES.
TORNADIC SUPERCELL WHICH RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER THE MINNEAPOLIS
METRO AREA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO POSE A TORNADO THREAT WHILE
PROGRESSING NEWD TOWARD THE ST. CROIX RIVER.
A TORNADIC SUPERCELL HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED NEAR SYNOPTIC SURFACE LOW
INVOF MSP. WHILE CURRENT MSP VWP INDICATES ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR...EARLIER ELEVATED TSTMS HAVE RE-ESTABLISHED EFFECTIVE WARM
FRONT FARTHER TO THE S...GENERALLY FROM THE N SIDE OF MSP EWD TO
NEAR OR JUST N OF EAU. SUPERCELL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ENEWD ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY...INGESTING A VORTICITY RICH LOCAL ENVIRONMENT. THIS
CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COINCIDES WITH A MODERATE TO
STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPE OF 3000-3500 J PER KG/ WHICH
SHOULD MAINTAIN CURRENT ACTIVITY WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
..MEAD.. 08/09/2009
ATTN...WFO...MPX...
LAT...LON 44929317 45319317 45499268 45519181 45159130 44809159
44729264 44779289 44929317
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