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Mesoscale Discussion 1834
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1834
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0258 PM CDT WED OCT 08 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS/AL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 081958Z - 082130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY REDEVELOP WITH A SMALL STORM
   CLUSTER INTO EARLY EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...A PERSISTENT AND MODERATELY-MOVING TSTM CLUSTER
   RECENTLY DEEPENED AS IT CROSSED THE MS RIVER INTO NW MS. WITH
   MINIMAL INHIBITION DOWNSTREAM AND MLCAPE OF AROUND 1500-2000
   J/KG...THIS CLUSTER SHOULD CONTINUE E/SE...S OF A QUASI-STATIONARY
   FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED INTO NRN AL/GA. WEAK LOW-LEVEL WINDS PER AREA
   VWP DATA ALONG WITH MARGINAL HIGH-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY
   REMAIN LIMITING FACTORS TO MORE SUBSTANTIAL INTENSIFICATION. BUT
   MODERATE MID-LEVEL SPEED SHEAR NEAR 30 KT ALONG WITH AMALGAMATING
   CORES COULD SUPPORT SMALL HAIL-LADEN DOWNDRAFTS PRODUCING SPORADIC
   STRONG WIND GUSTS.

   ..GRAMS/DARROW.. 10/08/2014


   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   34758962 34768891 34568747 34508688 34178612 33768639
               33538696 33428742 33328819 33378893 33498961 33899027
               34309039 34569015 34758962 

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Page last modified: October 08, 2014
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