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Mesoscale Discussion 1884
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1884
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0839 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA INTO
   CENTRAL KENTUCKY

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 541...

   VALID 140139Z - 140245Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 541 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE EVENING.
   WHILE SOME GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
   APPEARS TO BE LIMITED. A NEW WATCH DOWNSTREAM OF WW 541 IS NOT
   EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS
   THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TRACKS E/NE ACROSS INDIANA AND KENTUCKY.
   00Z RAOB FROM ILN SHOWED MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND POOR LAPSE RATES ON
   THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR. SFC DEWPOINTS
   ALSO DECREASE WITH EASTWARD EXTENT FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S F.
   ADDITIONALLY...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT BMG INDICATED WIND GUSTS ONLY
   TO 33 KT. WHILE SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY
   CONVECTION THE NEXT FEW HOURS...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE WANING
   AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO STABILIZE. GIVEN RECENT WEAKENING
   TRENDS AND THE POORER DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT...A NEW WATCH IS NOT
   EXPECTED.

   ..LEITMAN.. 10/14/2014


   ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

   LAT...LON   42598648 42878603 42838539 42698473 42288461 41758465
               41028473 40658487 40438538 40538638 40578703 41248704
               41738694 42598648 

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Page last modified: October 14, 2014
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