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Mesoscale Discussion 1891
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1891
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0735 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN GA THROUGH THE CNTRL AND ERN FL PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 545...

   VALID 141235Z - 141400Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 545 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
   COUPLE TORNADOES WILL PERSIST ANOTHER FEW HOURS.

   DISCUSSION...INITIAL BAND OF STORMS HAS WEAKENED OVER THE ERN
   PANHANDLE AS IT MOVES INTO A MORE STABLE REGIME THAT WAS SAMPLED BY
   THE 12Z RAOB FROM JACKSONVILLE FL. TRAILING BAND HAS ALSO SHOWN SOME
   WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES INTO AIR THAT HAS BEEN RENDERED LESS
   UNSTABLE BY THE LEADING CONVECTIVE BAND. MOREOVER INFLUENCE OF THE
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING NWD THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS IS
   SHIFTING AWAY FROM THIS REGION. NEVERTHELESS...VERTICAL WIND
   PROFILES REMAIN RESPECTABLE OVER THE CNTRL FL PANHANDLE INTO SWRN GA
   WHERE TALLAHASSEE VWP INDICATES LARGE HODOGRAPHS WITH 200-250 M2/S2
   0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY. ALSO...TENDENCY HAS BEEN FOR STORMS
   TO BECOME MORE DISCRETE WITH TIME. THESE FACTORS SUGGEST AT A THREAT
   FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS.

   ..DIAL/EDWARDS.. 10/14/2014


   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   31638491 31768417 31668309 31228309 30628324 29748354
               29578470 29698546 30888520 31638491 

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Page last modified: October 14, 2014
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