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Mesoscale Discussion 1892
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1892
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1021 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN FL PANHANDLE INTO FAR SRN GA

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 545...

   VALID 141521Z - 141715Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 545 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS WITH A
   THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A NEW WATCH
   MAY BE NEEDED.

   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED ALONG A SURGING OUTFLOW
   APPROACHING THE COASTAL BEND WITH AN INDICATION OF STRONG WINDS
   ONGOING SW OF TLH. OTHER CELLS ALSO EXIST ALONG A CONFLUENCE LINE
   ACROSS THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO. SHEAR PROFILES ARE CURRENTLY
   FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE...INCLUDING ROTATION STORMS...AND ARE
   NOT FORECAST TO CHANGE MUCH TODAY. THEREFORE...WITH SOME DIURNAL
   DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED
   TODAY AHEAD OF THE CURRENT ACTIVITY...AND A NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

   ..JEWELL.. 10/14/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30218437 30788420 31178381 31258320 31108245 30768214
               29828243 29068294 29238319 29758375 29998414 29838444
               30218437 

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Page last modified: October 14, 2014
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