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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1934
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 AM CDT THU AUG 20 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS / SWRN MO / NERN OK / NWRN AR
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 719...
VALID 200647Z - 200815Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 719 CONTINUES.
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO CONTINUES ACROSS CNTRL/ERN PARTS OF WW AREA.
A COMPLEX MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF WW
AREA AS OF 0635Z WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS OBSERVED OVER LABETTE
COUNTY KS INTO CRAIG...MAYES...OKMULGEE AND CREEK COUNTIES IN NERN
OK. THE OK STORMS HAVE EXHIBITED SOME WEAKENING OVER THE PAST HALF
HOUR...PERHAPS DUE TO INCREASING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ACROSS WARM
SECTOR. HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING/DEEPENING COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH
PRIMARY CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OVER SRN MO/SERN KS...AND APPROACH OF
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT...AND IT/S INTERACTION WITH 40-50 KT SWLY LLJ
SHOULD SERVE TO SUSTAIN VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL. VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR OBSERVED BY AREA
PROFILERS/VWPS SUGGESTS THAT A TORNADO THREAT STILL EXISTS WITH ANY
SURFACE-BASED STORMS THAT CAN REMAIN MORE DISCRETE.
..MEAD.. 08/20/2009
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 36029606 37249564 37699497 37899448 37779377 37549326
37009333 36449362 35709485 36029606
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