MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1993
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0919 PM CDT THU SEP 03 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 736...
   
   VALID 040219Z - 040345Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 736
   CONTINUES.
   
   SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL KS WHERE WW 736
   REMAINS IN EFFECT.
   
   LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS TWO INTENSE/SWD-MOVING STORMS...OVER SERN
   BARTON AND INTO RICE COUNTIES.  THESE STORMS APPEAR TO BE MOVING
   THROUGH THE AXIS OF GREATEST INSTABILITY -- A ZONE OF 1500-2000 J/KG
   MIXED-LAYER CAPE PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES.  WITH AREA
   VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATING 25 KT MID-LEVEL NWLYS ATOP LOW-LEVEL
   SELYS...SHEAR REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE/ROTATING STORMS.  
   
   WITH A MODEST INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL JET NOTED...CONVECTION MAY
   INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  ISOLATED
   STRONGER STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR HAIL/WIND -- WILL
   LIKEWISE BE POSSIBLE...THOUGH A SLOW DECREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL
   SHOULD OCCUR OVERNIGHT AS INSTABILITY GRADUALLY WEAKENS.  WHILE THE
   STRONGEST ONGOING STORMS ARE NEARING THE SWRN EDGE OF THE WW...NEW
   WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED DECREASING TREND IN
   SEVERE POTENTIAL.
   
   ..GOSS.. 09/04/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...
   
   LAT...LON   38879866 38789828 37879766 37549857 37679897 38079908
               38879866