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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2010
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 AM CDT FRI SEP 11 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL DE/ERN NJ
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 739...
VALID 111139Z - 111345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 739 CONTINUES.
LIMITED TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE TORNADO WATCH AREA --
PARTICULARLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN NJ COASTAL AREAS ATTM.
SURFACE DEWPOINTS NOW IN THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS COASTAL SRN NJ
ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MINIMAL INSTABILITY...AND THE ASSOCIATED
MAINTENANCE OF ONSHORE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
WHILE SUBSTANTIAL/PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL ROTATION HAS NOT BEEN
OBSERVED WITHIN THIS CONVECTION...A VERY FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL FLOW
FIELD PERSISTS /50 KT 0-1 KM SHEAR PER THE LATEST FORT DIX NJ
WSR-88D VWP/. THUS...LIMITED TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE --
PARTICULARLY WITHIN AN ESE-WNW BAND OF STORMS WHICH CONTINUES
DRIFTING NWD ACROSS OCEAN COUNTY...WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS WITHIN
THIS BAND CONTINUE MOVING ONSHORE/WNWWD.
..GOSS.. 09/11/2009
ATTN...WFO...PHI...
LAT...LON 38707503 38947552 39297540 40407448 40357377 39607390
38837446 38707503
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