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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0907 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AR...WRN LA...SE TX
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 300207Z - 300300Z
THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS SRN AR...WRN LA
AND SE TX TONIGHT. RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELL ELEMENTS WITHIN THE
HEAVIER RAINBANDS.
A NEARLY CONTINUOUS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING FROM SRN AR
EXTENDING SSWWD TO JUST EAST OF SHREVEPORT INTO THE HOUSTON AREA.
THIS BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO A VERY MOIST
AIRMASS WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F. IN
ADDITION TO THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...THE LATEST GPS PW DATA SHOWS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AS HIGH AS 2.25 INCHES ACROSS WRN LA. THIS
COMBINED WITH RATHER SLOW ENEWD STORM MOTIONS SHOULD SUPPORT VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT
AND MAY REACH CNTRL LA IN THE 09Z TO 12Z TIMEFRAME.
..BROYLES.. 10/30/2009
ATTN...WFO...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...
LAT...LON 34789169 34999197 34999222 34819259 34349293 33609347
32759390 31489440 30359530 29839558 29599534 29719480
30189406 30729354 31609300 33159234 33969197 34789169
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