STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 141630Z - 151200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   45 NW DRT 25 N FTW 40 NW MLC 30 WNW BVO 45 SW EMP 10 W MKC
   40 ENE JEF 35 SE POF 35 NW GLH 35 NW BPT 20 SE VCT 60 WSW COT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM IPL 40 WSW EED
   70 WNW P38 45 N P38 15 SSW U24 50 WNW GJT 20 NW EGE 30 WNW AKO
   35 NE LAA 40 SE ELP.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW P07 40 SE SPS
   10 E OKC 25 WSW SLN 25 N FNB 15 NE DEC 15 NNW JKL 30 NW HSS
   55 NW AHN 30 NNE TOI 20 SE BPT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CRP 20 S LRD.
   
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   LARGE SCALE TROUGH OVER SWRN U.S. WILL SHIFT EWD INTO SRN/CENTRAL
   PLAINS BY 12Z SAT.  SEVERAL MID LEVEL IMPULSES ROTATING THRU THE
   TROUGH. SURFACE LOW OVER SWRN KS WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD
   ACROSS SRN KS THEN INTO NRN AR. WARM FRONT WILL SURGE N THIS
   AFTERNOON AS SURFACE LOW SHIFTS INTO SERN KS. GULF MOISTURE WITH
   60F DEWPOINTS ALG ERN OK/KS BORDER WILL SPREAD INTO SWRN MO WITH
   MID 60S AS FAR N AS ERN OK.  
   
   AS TROUGH SHIFTS EWD...DRY LINE ENHANCED BY DRY SLOT WILL DEVELOP
   EWD INTO CENTRAL OK SWWD INTO SWRN TX BY MID AFTERNOON.
   
   ...SERN KS/SRN MO...
   WITH THE CLEARING SPREADING RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS OK THE WARM SECTOR
   EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON TO E OF DRY LINE
   WITH MLCAPES TO 1500 J/KG ACROSS ERN OK INTO SERN KS/SWRN MO TO S
   OF WARM FRONT.  THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN AREA OF
   FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE VICINITY WARM FRONT WITH 40-50 KT
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR ALONG WITH DIRECTIONAL  SHEAR IN BOUNDARY LAYER
   SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT STORM ROTATION.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE
   HAIL GIVEN THE LOW FREEZING LEVELS AND INSTABILITY BUT ISOLATED
   TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE GIVEN THE SHEAR PROFILES...PARTICULARLY
   NEAR WARM FRONT. LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL EXTEND SOME DISTANCE NWD OF
   WARM FRONT WITH THE EXPECTED ELEVATED INSTABILITY
   
   ...AR/ERN OK SWD INTO TX...
   ONGOING PRIMARILY ELEVATED STORMS CENTRAL/NERN TX ASSOCIATED WITH
   WEAK TROUGH MOVING THRU THE STRONG SWLY FLOW REGIME AHEAD OF MAIN
   TROUGH.  STORMS WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS MOIST AXIS ERN TX...WITH
   POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE AS AIRMASS DESTABILIZES TO CAPES
   ABOVE 1500 J/KG WITH AFTERNOON HEATING.  ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS
   ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS ERN OK INTO CENTRAL TX LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING AS ANOTHER S/WV TROUGH ROTATES FROM NRN MEX INTO
   TX AND AIRMASS DESTABILIZES WITH MID LEVEL COOLING AND SURFACE
   HEATING.  50KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THIS AREA WILL BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR STORMS DEVELOPING INTO SHORT LINES ENHANCING WIND
   DAMAGE POTENTIAL FOR THIS EVENING. AGAIN LARGE HAIL WILL BE
   PROBABLE WITH WBZ LEVELS OF 9-10K FEET. 
   
   
   ..HALES.. 02/14/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z