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Apr-12-2003 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
      
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   NO SVR TSTM AREAS FCST.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW 4BK 55 S EUG
   40 SE SLE 40 NNW DLS 50 E BLI.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW GGW 65 E LWT
   15 WSW BZN 10 NW IDA 15 NW ENV 50 SSE U31 15 NNE FAT 45 W PRB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE AUS 30 ESE HDO
   30 ENE DRT 60 NE P07 20 ENE MAF 35 SE LBB 45 SSW CDS 40 SW SPS
   15 WSW FTW 30 SE ACT 40 SE AUS.
   
   
   
   ...WRN U.S...
   
   DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NWRN U.S. TODAY AS
   SPEED MAX APPROACHES THE CENTRAL CA COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD. 
   PERSISTENT LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM CENTRAL
   CA...NEWD INTO WRN MT WILL SERVE TO MOISTEN/SATURATE PORTIONS OF
   MID-UPPER LEVELS ALONG THIS ZONE.  IT APPEARS ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION...ESPECIALLY AS
   DAYTIME HEATING ENHANCES MARGINALLY UNSTABLE SOUNDINGS.  ALTHOUGH
   THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE CONCENTRATED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE
   AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MAINTAIN
   CONVECTIVE THREAT ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT
   HOURS.
   
   ...CENTRAL TX...
   
   UPPER RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT ACROSS WRN INTO CNTRL TX DURING
   THE PERIOD.  OTHERWISE BENIGN LARGE SCALE PATTERN MAY ACTUALLY
   SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER
   PORTIONS OF TX...PARTIALLY DUE TO WEAK WARM ADVECTION BUT MORE
   LIKELY DUE TO STRONG DIURNAL HEATING.  LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   SUGGEST INHIBITION WILL BE INSIGNIFICANT AS SFC TEMPERATURES WARM
   INTO THE LOWER 80S WITH DEW POINTS RISING INTO THE LOWER-MID
   50S...YIELDING CAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG.  LACK OF
   SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL FORCING DOES NOT PROVIDE GREAT CONFIDENCE IN
   REGION OF INITIATION BUT STRONG DIURNAL HEATING MAY ULTIMATELY
   RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH SHOULD DISSIPATE WITH LOSS
   OF DAYTIME HEATING.
    
   ..DARROW.. 04/12/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1300Z
        
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