STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   35 WSW VLD 30 SSW ABY 40 SSE CSG 10 ENE CSG 30 ESE LGC 35 SSE ATL
   40 NNW MCN 35 NNE MCN 55 SW AGS 60 WNW SAV 45 WSW SAV 30 NW SSI
   30 S JAX 20 W DAB 25 SE ORL 25 WSW MLB 15 E AGR 10 SSE AGR
   15 S AGR 20 WSW AGR 25 WSW AGR 30 W AGR 40 E PIE 55 NNE PIE
   30 SE CTY 25 NNW CTY 35 WSW VLD.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   50 SSE CDS 20 SSW CDS 15 NW CDS 45 NNE CDS 20 NNE CSM 45 SW END
   25 SSW PNC 10 WSW BVO 35 SSE CNU 55 N JLN 30 WSW SZL 45 N SZL
   25 WNW IRK 10 ENE OTM 20 NNE CID 25 WNW LNR VOK 30 ENE VOK
   30 WNW OSH OSH 25 SW MTW 40 S MTW 20 ENE MKE 35 N CGX 30 ENE MMO
   20 N DEC 25 ENE ALN 45 SSW BLV 40 ENE UNO 55 S UNO 25 W HOT
   35 NNW TXK 40 ESE PRX 35 SSE PRX 40 NNW TYR 30 ESE DAL 20 SW DAL
   25 ESE MWL 25 W MWL 60 NE ABI 50 SSE CDS.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W CLE 15 E MFD
   15 NNW UNI 15 SSE HTS 25 NNW TRI AVL 35 S SPA 30 SE CAE 45 E CHS.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE HUM 10 WSW MSY
   30 E BTR 35 N BTR 25 WSW HEZ 15 WNW ESF 45 WNW POE 40 WSW LFK
   35 SE TPL 45 WNW AUS 20 SSE JCT 35 WSW JCT 25 SSW MAF 25 ENE CNM
   20 SSW ROW 20 SSE 4CR 40 NW 4CR 15 SE ABQ 25 NNE ABQ 25 N SAF
   60 NNE SAF 65 SSE ALS 25 WSW RTN 35 WNW CAO 35 N DHT 40 SSW LBL
   35 SE LBL 45 SSE DDC 20 WNW HUT SLN 35 NNW MHK 30 E BIE 35 ENE OMA
   10 NNW FOD 20 SE MKT 10 NE MSP 65 S DLH 15 ESE DLH 40 ENE DLH.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS AND INTO THE SRN
   PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY BY MONDAY NIGHT. A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
   WILL EXIT THE CNTRL ROCKIES AND MOVE INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY LATE
   IN THE PERIOD.  
   
   ...OK/N TX/SW MO/NW AR...
   ANALYSIS SHOWED SFC DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
   ACROSS ERN OK/WRN AR. A WIND SHIFT SHOULD PRECEDE THE COLD FRONT
   MOVING SE ACROSS KS/NW MO THIS AFTERNOON. BEST CONVERGENCE SHOULD
   BE NEAR THE WIND SHIFT WITH THE STRONGEST SFC HEATING ACROSS OK/N
   TX. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND CONVECTION
   SHOULD GET GOING ACROSS NRN-CNTRL OK DURING THE AFTERNOON WHERE THE
   MOIST AND THERMAL AXIS INTERSECT. A VORT MAX CURRENTLY IN NW NM
   EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY WILL MOVE EWD INTO OK AND THE ASSOCIATED DPVA
   MAY BE ENOUGH FOR MCS DEVELOPMENT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
   EVENING HOURS. A MID-LEVEL JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL
   TROUGH WILL PROVIDE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE REGION WITH 0-
   6 KM SHEAR AROUND 50 KT. THE LARGE-SCALE LIFT...MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED
   SEVERE CONVECTION BY AFTERNOON WITH A FEW SUPERCELLS. STEEP LAPSE
   RATES AND THE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL RESULT IN A POTENTIAL
   FOR LARGE HAIL AND/OR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A TORNADO CAN
   NOT BE RULED OUT BUT THE WEAKNESS OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET SUGGESTS THE
   TORNADO THREAT WILL BE LIMITED.  
   
   ...CNTRL MO/WRN IL/ERN IA/SRN WI...
   A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR
   CONVECTION TODAY. HOWEVER...CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH MORNING
   CONVECTION MAY LIMIT SFC HEATING AND THE MODELS DIFFER ON THE
   AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST
   INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS MO WITH MLCAPE POSSIBLY ABOVE
   1000 J/KG IN THIS AREA BY AFTERNOON. LARGE-SCALE FORCING SHOULD
   INCREASE BY LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL JET MAX OVER ERN
   KS. AS A RESULT...0-6 KM SHEAR SHOULD RANGE FROM 40 TO 50 KT ACROSS
   FAR WRN MO SUGGESTING A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
   ALTHOUGH WETBULB ZERO HEIGHTS WILL BE AROUND 11000 FEET... MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND FAIRLY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTS HAIL AND
   WIND DAMAGE WILL BE A POSSIBILITY.
   
   FARTHER N ACROSS ERN IA...WRN IL AND SRN WI...STRONG LARGE-SCALE
   FORCING WILL MAKE CONVECTION LIKELY ACROSS THIS REGION.
   UNIDIRECTIONAL PROFILES SUGGEST CONVECTION WILL BE LINEAR. WITH
   MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...SEVERE STORMS SHOULD BE
   ISOLATED. HOWEVER...IF INSTABILITY IS STRONGER THAN FORECAST...A
   FEW
   BOWING STRUCTURES MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THE LINE. WITH HIGH WETBULB
   ZERO HEIGHTS...WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT IF A FEW SEVERE
   CELLS CAN DEVELOP.
   
   ...SRN GA/NRN-CNTRL FL...
   SEA BREEZE FRONTS SHOULD DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY ACROSS FL AND SRN GA.
   CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE FRONTS. CONVECTION
   SHOULD REMAIN MULTICELLULAR WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30 KT.
   HOWEVER...STRONG SFC HEATING AND MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY BE ENOUGH
   FOR SEVERE CELLS BY AFTERNOON. RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL
   MAKE LARGE HAIL A POSSIBILITY WITH CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS. ALSO...WIND
   DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT ESPECIALLY WITH CELLS THAT CAN
   ORGANIZE COLD POOLS. 
    
   ..BROYLES/CROSBIE.. 05/19/03
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1300Z