STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 291300Z - 301200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   15 WNW INL 25 E HIB 60 N EAU 25 ESE EAU 15 ENE LSE 30 E CID
   35 E IRK COU 25 SW JEF 40 WNW TBN 50 NNE SGF 40 N SGF 55 NNE JLN
   40 S OJC 25 SW OJC 20 WNW FLV 35 S OMA 15 SW SUX 30 E HON 45 N ABR
   60 NE MOT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW FMY 20 SE
   VRB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW ANJ 20 W MBL
   15 NNE PIA 40 NE HRO 15 SW HRO 15 WNW FYV 45 E TUL 25 ENE BVO
   30 NW CNU 30 NW TOP 25 ESE OFK HON 20 WNW ABR 40 NE MBG 25 NW MBG
   35 W MBG 60 SW MBG 15 N VTN 25 NE LBF 25 ENE MCK 30 NW HLC
   40 SW HLC 45 N GCK 40 NNW LBL 25 NNE DHT 20 SW DHT 45 WNW TCC
   25 ENE ABQ 15 SSW GNT 40 E INW 10 SSW FLG 20 SW IGM 60 ENE DAG
   55 E NID 35 NNE NID 30 S BIH 50 WNW BIH 20 WSW TVL 45 NW TVL
   15 WNW SVE 45 NW SVE 40 SE MHS 10 NNE RBL 15 WSW RBL 60 NNW UKI
   30 SSE EKA 25 SSE CEC 25 NW MFR 20 SW PDT 20 N 3DU 25 N 3HT
   60 ESE LWT 60 NW MLS 35 SSW OLF 70 NNW ISN.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE SAV
   25 SSE AGS 20 SSE AND 55 WNW AND 35 SW TYS 30 NNE CSV 15 ESE SDF
   55 E BMG 25 S MIE 35 ENE FWA 65 NNE MTC.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW WAS IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND MS
   VALLEY REGION. OPEN UPPER-TROUGH OVER THE ERN US WILL MOVE SLOWLY
   E TO NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST AS AN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS FIRMLY
   ENTRENCHED OVER THE WRN US. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD
   THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY. 
    
   ...ERN SD/ERN ND/MN/WI/IA/NRN-CNTRL MO...
   ELEVATED CONVECTION ONGOING ACROSS NWRN ND WILL MOVE SLOWLY E TODAY
   AHEAD OF SHORT-WAVE TROUGH RIDING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS RIDGE.
   CONVECTION WILL ORGANIZE ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVE EWD TODAY.
   WITH SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND 50 F AND TEMPS IN THE 90S ACROSS
   CNTRL-ERN ND...MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP. DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR WILL BE AROUND 70 KT MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR THE INITIATION OF
   SUPERCELLS ACROSS ERN ND. AS CONVECTION MOVES EWD INTO MN LATE THIS
   AFTERNOON...STORM MOTIONS WILL BECOME SELY ALONG THE NE SIDE OF THE
   UPPER-RIDGE. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES THIS EVENING...
   CONVECTION SHOULD EXPAND SWD ACROSS IA...NRN MO. A CAPPING
   INVERSION OVER CNTRL SD/CNTRL-ERN NE WILL BE THE WRN EXTENT OF
   CONVECTION. ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE SLIGHT RISK
   AREA...INSTABILITY SHOULD BE STRONGER RESULTING IN A THREAT FOR
   ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS. FURTHER E...FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAKER INSTABILITY WITH CONVECTION ROOTED AROUND 700
   MB. ALTHOUGH ELEVATED...CONVECTION WILL STILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CONSIDERING THE STRONG DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR PRESENT.
   
   ...NRN CA/SRN OR...
   UPPER-TROUGH OFF THE WRN COAST OF THE US WILL APPROACH NRN CA THIS
   AFTERNOON. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO THE MID 50S F IN THIS
   AREA COUPLED WITH TEMPS NEAR 80 THIS AFTERNOON WILL RESULT IN
   MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG. AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING INCREASES
   AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE
   OFF OF THE MOUNTAINS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 45 KT COUPLED WITH
   LARGE SFC TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS SUGGEST A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  
   
   ...ERN NC...
   MOISTURE AXIS EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF NC/SC THIS MORNING WITH SFC
   DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S F. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO
   DEVELOP NEAR THE COASTAL AREAS LATE THIS MORNING ALONG THE COASTAL
   AREAS AS SFC TEMPS WARM INTO 70S. STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING
   ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-TROUGH ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
   WILL MAKE CONVECTION LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR AND INSTABILITY INDICATES THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE STORMS
   WILL BE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS. 
   
   ..BROYLES/CROSBIE.. 05/29/03
   
   
   
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1630Z